EMMITSBURG,
Md. – Only two other years in the past 35 did Frederick
County grow slower than it did last year, according to the
Maryland Department of Planning.
The
county’s population was estimated at 220,701 last
year, an increase of 3,245 people or 1.5 percent. That is
the lowest percentage increase since the county grew by
1.3 percent in 1983 and 1.4 percent in 1970.
“It’s
easy to explain,” said Frederick County Commissioner
John L. Thompson Jr. “We had a moratorium in 2002
and that pretty much put a crimp on any new growth on the
City of Frederick water system.”
While
data from the county’s division of permitting and
development review shows a definite drop in housing units
built in the City of Frederick in 2002, it was back to normal
the next year. From January through July 2002, the city’s
new housing units made up only 3.6 percent of the county’s
total, while the city’s construction made up 29.1
percent over the same time period from 2003-2006.
Commissioner
Mike Cady added that the county has seen a 20 percent decrease
in new construction compared to that of the previous board
of county commissioners and a 10 percent decrease over the
county’s average for the previous 20 years.
“To
label us as a growth-out-of-control commission is not accurate,”
Cady said.
While
many people complain about how fast the county has been
growing, the rate of growth has been dropping since 2002.
Commissioner
Jan Gardner agrees with Thompson that the moratorium reduced
the number of homes, but she also noted that the county’s
birth rate has been dropping. The county’s birth rate
was 13.6 births per 1,000 people in 2004. It was 23 births
per 1,000 in 1960.
This
can also be seen with a slowing in the enrollment growth
in county schools.
“But
this was predicted,” Gardner said. “When Ray
Barnes told us that, we all looked at him like he was crazy,
but it has happened. He also said would begin to increase
again in 2015.”
Thompson
also said growth will accelerate due to the county’s
and city’s approval of the Potomac River water line.
“Since
the city has no APFO they are going to be going like gangbusters,”
Thompson said.
For
the past three years, the county’s rate of growth
in each of the years’ ranks among the county’s
10 slowest-growing years since 1970. The 2005 rate of 1.5
percent is the third slowest. The 2004 rate of 1.8 percent
is tied with 1974 for the fifth-slowest-growing year and
the 2003 rate of 2.1 percent is tied with 1972 and 1998
for the eighth-slowest-growing year.
Even
the number of additional people living in the county has
been decreasing since 2002. The 3,245 additional people
represent the 11th smallest annual increase in population
since 1970.
Gardner
points out that even though growth has slowed, it is still
continuing and whether it is too much or not depends on
the person’s perspective. The county’s division
of planning estimates population differently than the state
and its population estimates are thousands of people higher.
“With
a small town, you can add 100 units and people don’t
get too worked up,” Gardner said. “But if you
get growth that doubles the size, that’s when people
get upset.”
Frederick
County’s growth rate has also been dropping in relation
to other Maryland counties. In 2002, Frederick County’s
growth rate was the third-highest in the state. Last year,
it was the 10th highest.
Thompson
said any slowing of growth in the county now is due to the
actions of the previous board of commissioners.
“The
Gray Administration decreased the amount of land available
for residential,” Thompson said. “We pulled
back the growth line in Point of Rocks and Lewistown.”
While
Cady said some of the credit does indeed go to the previous
board, the current board reduced the growth in New Market,
which won’t make itself known until the next board
of commissioners.